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News
| Recent news items and topics of general interest |
| Methane discovery stokes new global warming fears | |
Dramatic and unprecedented plumes of methane - a greenhouse gas 20 times more potent than carbon dioxide - have been seen bubbling to the surface of the Arctic Ocean by scientists undertaking an extensive survey of the region. The scale and volume of the methane release has astonished the head of the Russian research team who has been surveying the seabed of the East Siberian Arctic Shelf off northern Russia for nearly 20 years. Scientists estimate that there are hundreds of millions of tons of methane gas locked away beneath the Arctic permafrost, which extends from the mainland into the seabed of the relatively shallow sea of the East Siberian Arctic Shelf. One of the greatest fears is that with the disappearance of the Arctic sea ice in summer, and rapidly rising temperatures across the entire Arctic region, which are already melting the Siberian permafrost, the trapped methane could be suddenly released into the atmosphere leading to rapid and severe climate change. Each methane molecule is about 70 times more potent in terms of trapping heat than a molecule of carbon dioxide. However, because methane it broken down more rapidly in the atmosphere than carbon dioxide, scientist calculate that methane is about 20 times more potent than carbon dioxide over a hundred-year cycle. |
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| Go to an article by the Independent, based on an interview with Igor Semiletov of the International Arctic Research Centre at the University of Alaska Fairbanks | |
| 2010: The Year of Natural Disasters | |
A total of 950 natural catastrophes were recorded last year, 90% of which were weather-related events such as storms and floods, according to Munich RE. The reinsurance business says that this total makes 2010 the year with the second-highest number of natural catastrophes since 1980. This greatly exceedes the average for the last ten years which was 785 events per year. The global distribution of natural catastrophes in 2010 was however comparable to that of previous years. |
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Munich RE estimates that losses from the natural catastrophes in 2010 totalled US$130 billion, of which approximately $37bn was insured. The high number of weather-related natural catastrophes and record temperatures both globally and in different regions of the world provide further indications of advancing climate change. For example, the warming water temperatures helped to fuel the intensity of hurricanes. In terms of the number and intensity of the storms, 2010 was one of the severest hurricane seasons of the past 100 years, although damage was limited because favourable conditions meant thay were largely confied to sea areas. |
Increase in climate related natural disasters |
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Source: "EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database |
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| 2010 is likely to rank in the top 3 warmest years since 1850 | |
The year 2010 is almost certain to rank in the top 3 warmest years since the beginning of instrumental climate records in 1850, according to data sources compiled by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). The global combined sea surface and land surface air temperature for January–October 2010 was estimated at 0.55°C (± 0.11°C) above the 1961–1990 annual average of 14.00°C. At present, 2010's nominal value is the highest on record, just ahead of 1998 (January-October anomaly +0.53°C) and 2005 (0.52°C). However, the final ranking of 2010 will not become clear until November and December data are analysed in early 2011. According to WMO, preliminary operational data from 1-25 November indicate that global temperatures from November 2010 are similar to those observed in November 2005, indicating that global temperatures for 2010 are continuing to track near record levels. Concentrations of the main greenhouse gases have reached their highest levels recorded since pre-industrial times, according to the World Meteorological Organization’s 2009 Greenhouse Gas Bulletin. ... more at: WMO Press Release |
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| World Energy Outlook 2010 | |
The International Energy Agency, IEA, forecasts increased energy consumption of 21% over 2008 levels by 2035. The World Energy Outlook 2010 report forecasts that oil demand is set to grow strongly over the next 25 years, with China accounting for more than a third of the demand, making it "all but impossible to achieve the 2°C goal …" set in 2009 at Copenhagen. These trends "are in line with greenhouse gas concentrations of over 650 CO2-eq., resulting in a likely temperature rise of more than 3.5°C in the long term". It is also considered that the increased demand for oil will result in an almost doubling of oil prices by 2035, with significant consequences for global economies. The report also indicates that the goal of 2°C increase in temperature announced under the Copenhagen Accord, "can only be achieved with vigorous implementation of commitments in the period to 2020 and much stronger action thereafter". |
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It is not just climate change targets that look like being missed. The IEA also warns of the financial consequences of Copenhagen's failure to set a path towards a sustainable energy system. It estimates that globally $1,000 billion in extra investments will be needed by 2030 to avoid irreparable damage to the climate. The significant costs of delay echoes the warnings from the Stern Review published four years ago - that it makes economic sense to act sooner rather than later. The related International Energy Outlook 2010 the report predicts an increase of 49% in World marketed energy consumption from 2007 to 2035. In the reference case, total energy demand in non-OECD countries increases by 84 percent, compared with an increase of 14 percent in OECD countries. And in related news items: Managing Carbon: a global task that won't go away. ... more |
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| World marketed energy consumption 2007-2035. Source: International Energy Outlook 2010 |
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| Introducing Aliens: Can we cope with invasive species? |
| An excellent article by George Monbiot, 4th October 2010, "The Aliens Are Coming", looks briefly at some of the issues related to introduced species. Agricultural development needs to careful to ensure that best parctices are followed with regard to the problems of invasive species. Invasipedia houses information on invasive plants, animals, and pathogens, and especially how to best manage them. |
| Commitment to Development Index (CDI) 2009 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rich and poor countries are linked in many ways by foreign aid, commerce, migration, the environment, and military affairs. The Commitment to Development Index (CDI) rates 22 rich countries on how much they help they provide to poor countries to build prosperity, good government, and security. Each rich country gets scores in seven policy areas, which are averaged for an overall score: |
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| For more information on the Commitment to Development Index 2009 (CDI), and for comparisons with previous years, go to the Center for Global Development website. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Africa's Smallholder Farmers: Approaches that work for Viable Livelihoods Report Launched 7 July 2010 |
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This report has been produced by the African Smallholder Farmers Group, a network of International NGOs committed to creating an enabling environment for marginalised farmers across Africa. The main thrust of the report is that donors and governments have been neglecting smallholder farmers in their development plans, yet the majority of the rural poor in Africa are smallholders and their main chance to lift themselves out of poverty must come from improved access to decision-making, knowledge, technology, assets, markets and equal opportunities, applied to their farming activities. The report showcases examples of successful new initiatives that are facilitating a transformation in rural livelihoods, and makes specific recommendations to the UK government to mainstream these approaches in their programmes, in order to achieve the Millennium Development Goals. The full report is available at: http://www.concern.net/sites/concern.net/files/resource/2010/07/4615-asfgfinalreport.pdf |
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| Restoring Soils for Future Food Supply - An Open Letter to the New British Government, July 2010 |
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British policy on agriculture, at home and abroad, was made at a time when world food supplies were considered secure. We now know that food supply cannot be taken for granted because of ongoing decline in soil fertility, competition from bio-fuels and vulnerability to climate change. In the next two years, DEFRA will renegotiate the Common Agricultural Policy, DFID must decide how to respond to world food crises and DECC will negotiate international deals on CO2 reduction. There is growing international experience with a new farming technology – zero tillage – that improves soil health and allows high levels of food production to be sustained with lower inputs, less pollution and greater biodiversity. A concerned group of UK agricultural scientists, including members of the Tropical Agricultural Association (TAA), the UK No-Till Alliance, and theNRgroup met together at Elterwater in the Lake District to formulate an Open Letter to the new UK Government. The letter was sent to the ministers for DEFRA, DFID and DECC on 8th July, 2010. Download the full text of the letter here |
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| Switching to zero tillage could save the world about £14,700 billion a year
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For more information on Conservation Agriculture, see also:
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Earlier News Items: |
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| Climate change "will cause civilisation to collapse". Scenario indicated by 2009 State of the Future report. | |
| Catastrophic climate change could happen in 50 years. UK Met Office summary. | |
| Ecological credit crunch. See WWF’s Living Planet Report. |
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| Can African agriculture adapt to Climate Change? IFPRI Research Briefs. | |
| Dont kill the planet in the name of saving the economy. The collision of the credit crunch and the climate crunch ... | |
| The Impact of Peak Oil on International Development, by APPGOPO. A shift from industrialised agriculture to systems based on ecologically sound principles free from petro-chemical inputs is essential. |
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Page last updated December 31, 2011 |